Top Goalscorer - World Cup 2022

World Cup 2022 is just a few months away and talks about top goalscorers are already heating up. Betting sites have listed odds for this market and punters are on the hunt for the best odds for their pick.

Will it be Harry Kane who tops the charts with the greatest number of goals once again? or will Cristiano Ronaldo end up with the highest tally?

How to bet on the top goalscorer?

The top goalscorer market is among the most popular outright betting markets. Here you will find a list of odds for players from all the teams. These betting odds represent the probability of a player scoring the most goals in the world cup as implied by the betting sites.

The lower the odds, the higher the chances of a player to become the world cup top goalscorer. Not to forget that this is an implied probability. That means, it’s just an opinion of the betting site, and though it’s backed by stats, it may not be accurate.

So, how do you bet on the top goal scorer, then?

Do your own research, gather stats and all the info you need about players such as their recent form, strengths, weaknesses, injuries, etc.

Back your prediction with reason and logic. Compare the odds in this market from many different world cup betting sites. This will help you get an understanding of whether there is a consensus among bookmakers regarding the favorites in this market.

Since there are still a few months left for the World Cup 2022 to kick off, the betting odds in the top goalscorer market could be tentative. Keep an eye out for any changes in these odds to get a better price for your pick.

How to predict the world cup top goalscorer?

Timing your bet and shopping for odds can get you the best return on your stake if you win. But how do you pick your selection so that your bet has a higher probability of winning?

Here are a few tips and strategies to consider before you bet on the top goalscorer this world cup –

  • If the player’s team is placed in an easy group, he is likely to score more goals than he would if his team was in the group of death.
  • A team’s progress through the tournament is key to the success of the striker in terms of his goals tally. A striker of a team whose chances of making it beyond the round of 16 or even the group stage aren’t high, is not a good bet.
  • A player who takes penalty kicks for his team will have a higher chance of ending up with the most goals in the tournament.
  • Look at the recent performances of the player in the domestic season. Check how many goals he scored, was he consistent, and other key aspects of his current form.
  • While you’re at it, also consider the player’s international record. You don’t want to bet on someone who’s a star in a domestic tournament but cannot replicate the performance on the big stage

Stats

  • In the last edition of the World Cup, Harry Kane was the top goalscorer.
  • The England striker scored 6 goals with 5 of them coming in the group stage and one in the Round of 16 matches against Colombia.
  • Cristiano Ronaldo and Kylian Mbappe finished 5th and 6th in the goal scorers chart in the 2018 world cup with 4 goals each

Rules

  • In the top goalscorer market, the goal scored by a player in the regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be counted.
  • Any goals netted by the player in a penalty shootout will not be considered.
  • In case two players end up with the same number of goals, then the winning amount will be divided by 2

Who are the favorites in the top goalscorer market?

Harry Kane – The England striker is the top favorite at betting sites to repeat his 2018 world cup feat. He will be up against Iran and the US and then one of Ukraine, Wales, or Scotland. This means he has plenty of opportunities to score goals in the group stage.

Kylian Mbappe – The 23-year-old PSG forward is probably the fastest striker on our list. The betting sites have placed him just behind Harry Kane with a slight difference in the betting odds. Mbappe is in great form scoring more than 80 goals for his club in the last two seasons, and if France can go deep in the tournament, he will have a high chance of netting the most goals in the world cup.

Cristiano Ronaldo – With the record for most international goals to his name, Cristiano Ronaldo is a clear frontrunner in this market. Some may say Ronaldo has underperformed in this tournament given his tally of 7 goals from 4 world cups. At 37 years of age, this may be the last chance for Ronaldo to win the golden boot.

Lionel Messi – The man needs no introduction. Lionel Messi, arguably the best footballer in the world, has not been prolific in world cups, scoring only six goals in 19 appearances prior to this tournament. After won the Copa America trophy with Argentina in 2021, he will be eager to make a world cup comeback after a lackluster performance in 2018.

Romelu Lukaku – The giant belgian front-man will be confident of bagging goals in a generous group, which includes Canada and Morocco. The Inter Milan striker underperformed last season with Chelsea, but when it comes to the national team, he consistently delivers, as he did in the 2020 Euro with 4 goals in 5 games.

Neymar – His team is the top favorite in the outright winner market. While his spell at PSG in the champions league wasn’t great, Neymar is definitely a force to reckon with at the international level. With 6 world cup finals goals and 71 international goals from 117 appearances, Neymar can be a great value bet.

Robert Lewandowski – Barcelona’s prestigious signing was on fire in 21/22, scoring more than a goal per game for both club (Bayern Munich) and country (Poland). Admittedly, he’s hampered by his country’s chances – 150/1 pre-tournament outsiders with the betting markets..

Memphis Depay – The 28-year-old Dutch player was the top goal scorer in the world cup qualifiers with 12 goals. The Barca forward seems to be all set to make a mark in Qatar

Vinicius Júnior – Despite the pressure as a key player for both Real Madrid and Brazil, Vinicius Jr. has risen to the challenge spectacularly. His partnership with Karim Benzema in Madrid was the deadliest pairing in European football last season, and he has emerged as a sneaky contender for the Golden boot.

World Cup’s all-time Top Goalscorers

  • Just Fontaine (France) 13 Goals 1958
  • Sandor Kocsis (Hungary) 11 Goals 1954
  • Gerd Muller (Germany) 10 Goals 1970
  • Eusebio (Portugal) 9 Goals 1966
  • Guillermo Stabile (Argentina) 8 goals 1930
  • Ademir (Brazil) 8 goals 1950
  • Ronaldo (Brazil) 8 goals 2002
  • Leonidas (Brazil) 7 goals 1938
  • Grzegorz Lato (Poland) 7 goals 1974
  • Mario Kempes (Argentina) 6 goals 1978
  • Paolo Rossi (Italy) 6 goals 1982
  • Gary Lineker (England) 6 goals 1986
  • Salvatore Schillaci (Italy) 6 goals 1990
  • Oleg Salenko (Russia), Hristo Stoichkov (Bulgaria) 6 goals 1994
  • Davor Suker (Croatia) 6 goals 1998
  • James Rodriguez (Colombia) 6 goals 2014
  • Harry Kane (England) 6 goals 2018
  • Miroslav Klose (Germany) 5 goals 2006
  • Oldrich Nejedy (Czechoslovakia) 5 goals 1934
  • Florian Albert (Hungary) 4 goals 1962

Note – In the 1962 World Cup, the top goal scorer contest was tied between 7 players

Betting on the underdogs

In a way, you are taking a risk when betting on any player in the top goalscorer market. Features such as Each Way or Cashout can be handy if you wish to bet on the underdogs.

In Qatar, you can expect surprises as there always have been in the world cup. It is quite possible that the big names like Messi and Ronaldo may not finish at the top and a less popular name may spring a surprise.

Given most of the goals of top goal scorers in the past have come in the group stage, you can try your luck with an outsider in the race to the golden boot if you think his team has favorable games

Interesting facts about the World Cup

  • Hakan Sukur of Turkey scored the fastest goal against South Korea in 2002 within just 10.89 seconds after kick-off.
  • The scorecard read 7-5 when Austria defeated Switzerland in 1954. It was the highest-scoring match ever in the world cup.
  • This will be the last world cup with 32 teams as from 2026, the tournament will feature 48 teams.
  • Hungary’s Lazlo Kiss holds the record for the fastest hat-trick in the world cup. He achieved this feat against El Salvador in 1982.
  • Oleg Salenko of Russia holds the record for scoring the most goals (5) ever in a world cup match. He was also the joint top goalscorer in the the1994 world cup

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Group A

TeamMGDP
Netherlands3+47
Senegal3+16
Ecuador3+14
Qatar3-60

Group B

TeamMGDP
England377
USA315
Iran3-33
Wales3-51

Group C

TeamMGDP
Argentina3+36
Poland304
Mexico3-14
Saudi Arabia3-23

Group D

TeamMGDP
France3+36
Australia3-16
Tunisia304
Denmark3-21

Group E

TeamMGDP
Japan3+16
Spain3+64
Germany3+14
Costa Rica3-83

Group F

TeamMGDP
Morocco3+37
Croatia3+35
Belgium3-14
Canada3-50

Group G

TeamMGDP
Brazil3+26
Switzerland3+16
Cameroon304
Serbia3-31

Group H

TeamMGDP
Portugal3+26
South Korea304
Uruguay304
Ghana3-23